Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
45.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 3
DEF
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 2
PLA
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 1
DAN
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
BOS
2 - 3
DEF
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
FEN
64%
23%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 3
PEÑ
25%
28%
47%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MWA
3 - 3
PEÑ
28%
29%
43%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
FEN
66%
22%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
LFC
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |