Defensor Sporting vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
14º
6º
12
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 27 |
3º
|
83% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 22 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 20 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 19 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 18 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 17 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 13 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
47.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 3 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 1
DEF
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 2
BOS
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
DEF
3 - 1
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
BVP
0 - 3
DEF
5%
15%
81%
|
81 | 7 | 74 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
MWA
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 2
FEN
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
LFC
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
BOS
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 0
LFC
36%
27%
36%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |