Dartford vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
DAR
6 - 1
EAS
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
EBB
1 - 0
DAR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 1
EBB
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
MAI
5 - 0
DAR
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
DOV
1 - 2
DAR
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CHM
1 - 0
WHI
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
BIS
1 - 3
CHM
12%
19%
69%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CHM
4 - 0
BIS
85%
11%
5%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
WES
0 - 0
CHM
19%
21%
60%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CHM
1 - 0
HIT
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |