Darmstadt 98 vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darmstadt 98
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
ROT
2 - 2
DAR
54%
23%
24%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1983 |
DAR
2 - 1
HAN
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
DAR
3 - 0
SGF
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
WAT
4 - 2
DAR
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
SCF
1 - 1
DAR
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
MSV
3 - 1
HAN
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1983 |
MSV
1 - 1
AAA
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
HES
3 - 1
MSV
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
MSV
2 - 3
KÖL
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
KFC
1 - 3
MSV
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |