Dagdizel vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
54.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dagdizel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
FCK
2 - 0
DAG
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
DAG
1 - 0
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
DAG
2 - 1
ENE
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BIO
3 - 3
DAG
42%
27%
32%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
DAG
0 - 2
MIT
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
BIO
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
MIT
0 - 1
CHE
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
SKA
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GAZ
1 - 1
CHE
18%
26%
56%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
AST
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |