Cynthia vs Castiadas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cynthia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SAS
2 - 1
CYN
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CYN
0 - 0
BUD
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
CYN
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
CYN
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CYN
2 - 0
OST
32%
27%
41%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Castiadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
ARZ
15%
20%
66%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
OLB
3 - 1
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
MUR
23%
21%
56%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |