Curzon Ashton vs Fylde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
65.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CUR
0 - 1
GLO
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SPE
3 - 1
CUR
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 1
CUR
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
KID
1 - 0
CUR
59%
23%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
CUR
0 - 3
LEA
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
FYL
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
FYL
3 - 3
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FYL
2 - 1
BOS
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
LEA
1 - 1
FYL
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
CUR
2 - 0
FYL
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |