Champions League Semi-finals
Global 4-7
CSKA Sofia vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
CSK
2 - 0
LIV
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
CSK
2 - 2
LSO
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
CHB
2 - 1
CSK
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
LIV
1 - 0
CSK
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
CSK
5 - 0
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
BYM
1 - 1
KOL
77%
14%
9%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1982 |
FCN
0 - 3
BYM
26%
25%
50%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
BYM
1 - 1
FCU
89%
8%
2%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
BYM
3 - 1
BVB
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
KAI
2 - 1
BYM
39%
24%
37%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |