CSKA Moskva vs Fakel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
7º
6º
14
14º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 22 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 27% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 46.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 0
TER
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DMK
0 - 1
CSK
11%
23%
66%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CSK
2 - 2
OLY
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 2
CSK
47%
24%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 2
CSK
17%
21%
61%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fakel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 1
ZEN
10%
19%
71%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
TER
2 - 3
FAK
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FAK
1 - 3
TOR
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FAK
1 - 1
DMK
39%
31%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 1
FAK
65%
20%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |