CSKA Moskva vs Akron Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
7º
5º
8
6º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
LOK
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 1
OLY
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KRA
2 - 1
CSK
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
5 - 1
GAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KRA
1 - 0
CSK
39%
25%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Akron Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
AKT
1 - 2
FCR
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FAK
1 - 2
AKT
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 2
AKT
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AKT
0 - 2
DIN
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
4 - 0
AKT
57%
22%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |