CSKA Moskva vs Akron Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
7º
6º
16
6º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 68 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 63 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 61 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 60 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 58 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 52 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 28 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 28 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 27 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 25 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 25 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 24 |
16º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
0 - 1
LOK
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 1
OLY
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KRA
2 - 1
CSK
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
5 - 1
GAZ
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KRA
1 - 0
CSK
39%
25%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Akron Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
AKT
1 - 2
FCR
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FAK
1 - 2
AKT
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 2
AKT
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AKT
0 - 2
DIN
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
4 - 0
AKT
57%
22%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |