Macará vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
TOL
1 - 0
MAC
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
MAC
0 - 1
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 1
DEL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
DEL
2 - 1
MAC
49%
27%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 2
EME
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
LAN
3 - 0
UCE
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
UCE
0 - 2
LIG
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 3
UCE
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
UCE
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
UCE
1 - 1
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |