Recopa Sudamerica Final
Global 2-5
Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
55.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
IVT
2 - 1
MUS
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SPC
2 - 2
IVT
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
DEL
2 - 2
IVT
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2019 |
IVT
0 - 0
DEL
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
IVT
3 - 1
COL
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FLA
3 - 0
ATP
71%
17%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 3
FLA
18%
25%
56%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FLA
2 - 0
MAD
89%
8%
3%
|
89 | 46 | 43 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
RES
1 - 3
FLA
8%
20%
72%
|
89 | 46 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |