Alagoano Inicial Semi-finals
Global 3-3
CSA vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CRB
1 - 1
CSA
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 2
CSA
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
CSA
5 - 0
IPA
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
CRB
2 - 0
CSA
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
CSA
2 - 0
BJE
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CRB
1 - 1
CSA
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
CRB
0 - 2
CRZ
16%
21%
64%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CRB
1 - 3
COR
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
COR
2 - 1
CRB
25%
23%
52%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
CRB
2 - 0
CSA
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |