Sportivo Desamparados vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 1
DES
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
DES
3 - 0
IRV
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ALM
4 - 0
DES
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
DES
0 - 3
BUC
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GBR
0 - 1
DES
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
CHA
43%
31%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAT
1 - 0
MER
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
CEN
29%
30%
42%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
ATT
1 - 0
MER
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
ALD
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |