Crystal Palace vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1969 |
CRY
1 - 0
BCF
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
BIR
0 - 1
CRY
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1969 |
DER
0 - 1
CRY
59%
22%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
CRY
3 - 1
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1969 |
BRI
1 - 1
CRY
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1969 |
MIL
1 - 0
SHE
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1969 |
OXF
1 - 0
MIL
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1969 |
PNE
0 - 1
MIL
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
MIL
3 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1969 |
CUM
1 - 0
MIL
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |