Championship round 34

Crystal Palace vs Millwall analysis

Crystal Palace Millwall
73 ELO 71
1.6% Tilt -9.1%
56º General ELO ranking 810º
12º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
55%
Crystal Palace
24.4%
Draw
20.7%
Millwall

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
Crystal Palace
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.7%
Win probability
Millwall
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crystal Palace
-2%
+9%
Millwall

ELO progression

Crystal Palace
Millwall
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 1969
CRY
Crystal Palace
1 - 0
Bury
BCF
74%
17%
9%
73 56 17 0
08 Mar. 1969
BIR
Birmingham City
0 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
62%
21%
17%
72 72 0 +1
05 Mar. 1969
DER
Derby County
0 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
59%
22%
18%
72 72 0 0
01 Mar. 1969
CRY
Crystal Palace
3 - 1
Cardiff City
CAR
47%
25%
28%
71 72 1 +1
25 Feb. 1969
BRI
Bristol City
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
39%
28%
33%
71 65 6 0

Matches

Millwall
Millwall
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 1969
MIL
Millwall
1 - 0
Sheffield United
SHE
44%
26%
30%
71 76 5 0
08 Mar. 1969
OXF
Oxford United
1 - 0
Millwall
MIL
37%
29%
34%
72 57 15 -1
03 Mar. 1969
PNE
Preston North End
0 - 1
Millwall
MIL
36%
28%
36%
72 63 9 0
01 Mar. 1969
MIL
Millwall
3 - 2
Charlton Athletic
CHA
53%
25%
22%
71 68 3 +1
22 Feb. 1969
CUM
Carlisle United
1 - 0
Millwall
MIL
47%
27%
27%
72 70 2 -1