Cruzeiro U20 vs Capital FC Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
CRU
64%
19%
16%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
FOR
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
7 - 3
CRU
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 3
CRU
26%
22%
53%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
4 - 3
PAL
28%
25%
46%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |