Cruzeiro Sub 20 vs Chapecoense Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
CRU
1 - 0
BOT
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
COR
0 - 1
CRU
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CRU
0 - 2
FLU
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CRU
0 - 0
ATL
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
CRU
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAO
25%
25%
51%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
PON
0 - 0
CHA
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
3 - 0
SPO
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
INT
5 - 1
CHA
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 3
ATM
20%
23%
58%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |