Cruzeiro U20 vs Real Brasilia Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 0
CRU
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CRU
2 - 2
PAL
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
CRU
3 - 0
FOR
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
CRU
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 1
CRU
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |