Cruzeiro RS vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CRU
0 - 0
GRE
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 3
CRU
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 2
PAS
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRU
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LAJ
2 - 0
CRU
45%
27%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 0
SAO
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 1
PAS
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 1
JUV
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SLU
0 - 1
CAX
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAX
2 - 3
GRE
15%
24%
60%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |