Cruzeiro vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1974 |
GRE
1 - 1
CRZ
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1974 |
CRZ
6 - 1
VIT
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1974 |
CRZ
1 - 1
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1974 |
CRZ
0 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1974 |
GOI
0 - 1
CRZ
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1974 |
SAO
1 - 0
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1974 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAO
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1974 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAO
36%
25%
39%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1974 |
SAO
3 - 0
GUA
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |