Cruzeiro vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
VAS
1 - 0
CRZ
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
CRZ
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
CRZ
0 - 0
GOI
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
CRZ
2 - 0
COR
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
FOR
0 - 2
CRZ
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 4
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 1
GOI
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
VAS
2 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |