Cruzeiro vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
SAO
4 - 1
CRZ
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CRZ
3 - 2
VAS
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 1
CRZ
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GRE
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
CRZ
0 - 3
ATM
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
COR
1 - 1
FLU
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SCI
3 - 0
COR
47%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
COR
1 - 0
VIT
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
CRI
1 - 1
COR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 2
COR
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |