Cruzeiro vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1976 |
ALI
0 - 4
CRZ
24%
27%
49%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
LIG
1 - 3
CRZ
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
CRZ
4 - 1
OLI
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
SCI
0 - 2
CRZ
54%
27%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
CRZ
4 - 1
LQE
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1976 |
ALI
0 - 4
CRZ
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1976 |
LIG
2 - 1
ALI
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ALI
2 - 1
MIL
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
ALI
3 - 0
SFE
46%
22%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1976 |
UGA
0 - 0
ALI
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 13 | 56 | 0 |