Cruz Azul vs Guerreros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
VER
4 - 0
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 0
UDG
56%
24%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
IRA
1 - 2
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 0
NEC
19%
26%
55%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DOR
2 - 1
CAZ
51%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guerreros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 2
MER
19%
26%
55%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 0
GUE
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
GUE
1 - 2
UAT
27%
29%
44%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
REB
0 - 0
GUE
58%
23%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GUE
2 - 1
LEO
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |