Copa Argentina 1/128
Global 4-2
Crucero del Norte vs San Martín Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crucero del Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
CDN
20%
26%
53%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CDN
2 - 2
SMA
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AHZ
0 - 2
CDN
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
CDN
1 - 2
SAR
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
JAN
1 - 1
CDN
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
SMA
1 - 1
CDN
20%
26%
53%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CDN
2 - 2
SMA
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SMA
0 - 0
CFE
16%
24%
60%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
BUC
3 - 0
SMA
77%
17%
6%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 1
GYT
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |