Croesyceiliog vs Ynysygerwn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croesyceiliog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
PON
6 - 1
CRO
26%
21%
53%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CRO
2 - 1
ABE
55%
20%
24%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
HAV
2 - 1
CRO
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 1
GOY
43%
21%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
BRI
7 - 3
CRO
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +14 |
Matches
Ynysygerwn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
YFC
1 - 3
CAM
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 2
YFC
28%
21%
51%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |