International Friendly U21 round 1

Croatia U21 vs Slovenia U21 analysis

Croatia U21 Slovenia U21
67 ELO 58
2.9% Tilt 4.1%
1513º General ELO ranking 2165º
12º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
59.4%
Croatia U21
22.3%
Draw
18.3%
Slovenia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
Croatia U21
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.3%
Win probability
Slovenia U21
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Croatia U21
Slovenia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Croatia U21
Croatia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2016
SWE
Sweden U21
4 - 2
Croatia U21
CRO
58%
22%
20%
67 73 6 0
06 Sep. 2016
GEO
Georgia U21
2 - 2
Croatia U21
CRO
15%
20%
64%
67 49 18 0
01 Sep. 2016
CRO
Croatia U21
1 - 1
Sweden U21
SWE
35%
26%
40%
67 73 6 0
28 Mar. 2016
CRO
Croatia U21
2 - 1
Estonia U21
EST
83%
13%
4%
67 34 33 0
24 Mar. 2016
ESP
Spain U21
0 - 3
Croatia U21
CRO
70%
19%
11%
65 84 19 +2

Matches

Slovenia U21
Slovenia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2016
SRB
Serbia U21
3 - 1
Slovenia U21
SVN
59%
21%
20%
59 66 7 0
07 Oct. 2016
LTU
Lithuania U21
1 - 0
Slovenia U21
SVN
12%
22%
66%
60 37 23 -1
02 Sep. 2016
IRL
Ireland U21
2 - 0
Slovenia U21
SVN
24%
25%
51%
61 51 10 -1
31 May. 2016
AZE
Azerbaijan U21
2 - 1
Slovenia U21
SVN
19%
24%
57%
62 48 14 -1
28 May. 2016
SVN
Slovenia U21
4 - 1
Azerbaijan U21
AZE
64%
21%
15%
61 49 12 +1