Criciúma vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
TUP
0 - 2
CRI
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BAH
2 - 0
CRI
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 0
SAM
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 2
CRI
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
CRI
4 - 0
OES
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
OES
53%
26%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
LON
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUV
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 2
VIL
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 2
VIL
53%
24%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |