Criciúma vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 3
SCI
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
2 - 2
ALT
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
2 - 1
LIT
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
CRI
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
CRI
29%
26%
46%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 0
MET
82%
14%
4%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
INT
33%
24%
44%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LIT
0 - 0
MET
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
MET
64%
23%
13%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MET
2 - 0
BRU
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |