League Two round 38

Crewe Alexandra vs Bradford City analysis

Crewe Alexandra Bradford City
56 ELO 63
4.5% Tilt -1.5%
2272º General ELO ranking 1923º
67º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
27.6%
Crewe Alexandra
28%
Draw
44.5%
Bradford City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
Crewe Alexandra
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
44.5%
Win probability
Bradford City
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Crewe Alexandra
+6%
+6%
Bradford City

Points and table prediction

Crewe Alexandra
Their league position
Bradford City
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
20º
14º
75
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leyton Orient
90
91
100%
Stevenage
82
85
100%
Northampton
80
81
100%
Stockport County
78
79
100%
Carlisle United
75
78
50.5%
Salford City
75
76
29.5%
Bradford City
75
76
4%
Mansfield Town
72
73
100%
Barrow
62
62
100%
Swindon Town
10º
58
61
10º
19.5%
Grimsby Town
12º
58
61
11º
8.5%
Newport County
15º
56
59
12º
39%
Tranmere Rovers
11º
58
59
13º
43%
Crewe Alexandra
13º
57
57
14º
24.5%
Sutton United
14º
57
57
15º
41.5%
Doncaster Rovers
16º
55
56
16º
32.5%
Harrogate Town
19º
51
54
17º
31.5%
Walsall
17º
52
53
18º
25.5%
Gillingham
18º
52
53
19º
43%
Colchester United
20º
49
50
20º
84.5%
AFC Wimbledon
21º
48
48
21º
60.5%
Crawley Town
22º
46
46
22º
76%
Hartlepool United
23º
42
43
23º
100%
Rochdale
24º
37
37
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Crewe Alexandra
Bradford City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Crewe Alexandra
Bradford City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 1
Swindon Town
SWI
32%
25%
44%
54 58 4 0
25 Apr. 2023
GRI
Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
54%
26%
21%
54 61 7 0
22 Apr. 2023
LEY
Leyton Orient
2 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
59%
24%
17%
55 65 10 -1
15 Apr. 2023
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 0
Walsall
WAL
38%
27%
35%
53 58 5 +2
10 Apr. 2023
COL
Colchester United
4 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
39%
27%
34%
55 54 1 -2

Matches

Bradford City
Bradford City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
NOR
Northampton
1 - 2
Bradford City
BRA
42%
29%
29%
63 64 1 0
22 Apr. 2023
BRA
Bradford City
2 - 2
Gillingham
GIL
53%
26%
21%
63 58 5 0
18 Apr. 2023
SWI
Swindon Town
1 - 0
Bradford City
BRA
31%
28%
41%
63 56 7 0
15 Apr. 2023
ROC
Rochdale
0 - 3
Bradford City
BRA
23%
27%
49%
63 51 12 0
10 Apr. 2023
BRA
Bradford City
3 - 1
Sutton United
SUT
46%
27%
27%
62 60 2 +1