Creteil vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
ASB
2 - 0
LUS
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2001 |
LUS
1 - 3
ASN
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
CHA
1 - 0
LUS
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
LUS
1 - 1
IST
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
NIO
1 - 1
LUS
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
CAE
2 - 4
ASS
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 1
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2001 |
ASB
1 - 1
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
NÎM
2 - 2
CAE
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |