CRB vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
CRB
1 - 3
CRI
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
SPO
3 - 0
CRB
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
CRB
1 - 1
FOR
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRB
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
CRB
2 - 0
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
4 - 0
REM
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
FOR
2 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
78%
15%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 0
ANA
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
MOG
2 - 1
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |