Crawley Town vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
2 - 1
BPO
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
EBB
1 - 1
CRA
15%
19%
66%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ALD
1 - 2
CRA
16%
19%
65%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
3 - 6
CRY
19%
24%
58%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
WEA
1 - 0
CRA
11%
17%
72%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 1
SWI
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 0
WYC
24%
23%
53%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 0
SWI
24%
20%
55%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HIG
2 - 4
SWI
5%
11%
84%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 3
SWI
4%
10%
85%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | +1 |