Crato vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
45.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CRA
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 0
ADM
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
5 - 1
NAV
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +5 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
CRA
69%
21%
10%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 0
PEN
30%
24%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
4 - 0
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADM
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 2
VIT
40%
25%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAL
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |