Craigroyston vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
63.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Craigroyston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
EAS
3 - 2
CRA
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
CRA
1 - 0
EDI
11%
18%
71%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
CRA
0 - 7
BLA
13%
20%
68%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
HER
1 - 2
PRE
67%
19%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
LOT
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
WHI
0 - 2
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
EAS
0 - 3
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
DAL
2 - 3
HER
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |