Cowdenbeath vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
75.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 1
CWB
83%
13%
4%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
CWB
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
CWB
1 - 2
EAS
12%
20%
68%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
STE
3 - 2
CWB
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 2
CWB
13%
18%
70%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
STM
14%
19%
68%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MON
5 - 2
CIV
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ARB
1 - 3
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |