Lowland League round 22

Cowdenbeath vs Celtic II analysis

Cowdenbeath Celtic II
31 ELO 49
-19.4% Tilt -18.2%
6779º General ELO ranking 4073º
68º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
10.5%
Cowdenbeath
18.1%
Draw
71.4%
Celtic II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
Cowdenbeath
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
71.4%
Win probability
Celtic II
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cowdenbeath
-22%
+7%
Celtic II

Points and table prediction

Cowdenbeath
Their league position
Celtic II
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
12º
17º
15º
76
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Spartans
79
79
100%
Rangers FC II
74
77
100%
Celtic II
76
76
100%
Stirling University
71
71
100%
Tranent Juniors FC
65
65
100%
East Kilbride
64
64
100%
Berwick Rangers
61
61
100%
Civil Service Strollers
58
58
100%
Bo'ness United
54
54
100%
Caledonian Braves
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Broomhill FC
11º
51
51
11º
0%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Hearts II
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Cumbernauld Colts
14º
46
46
14º
100%
Cowdenbeath
15º
36
36
15º
100%
East Stirlingshire
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Gretna 2008
17º
26
26
17º
100%
AFC Edinburgh University
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Dalbeattie Star
19º
8
8
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cowdenbeath
Celtic II
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cowdenbeath
Celtic II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
CUM
Cumbernauld Colts
1 - 0
Cowdenbeath
CWB
56%
22%
23%
33 34 1 0
18 Feb. 2023
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 0
Caledonian Braves
CBF
33%
22%
45%
32 35 3 +1
11 Feb. 2023
CWB
Cowdenbeath
1 - 2
Rangers FC II
RFC
10%
17%
73%
34 48 14 -2
04 Feb. 2023
AFC
AFC Edinburgh University
0 - 5
Cowdenbeath
CWB
9%
18%
72%
33 7 26 +1
14 Jan. 2023
CWB
Cowdenbeath
2 - 0
Stirling University
STI
12%
20%
69%
29 45 16 +4

Matches

Celtic II
Celtic II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2023
CFC
Celtic II
2 - 0
Hearts II
HOM
80%
13%
7%
48 34 14 0
18 Feb. 2023
CFC
Celtic II
3 - 1
Gretna 2008
GRE
88%
9%
3%
48 19 29 0
11 Feb. 2023
BON
Bo'ness United
0 - 3
Celtic II
CFC
20%
21%
59%
48 35 13 0
08 Feb. 2023
STI
Stirling University
2 - 1
Celtic II
CFC
27%
23%
50%
49 43 6 -1
28 Jan. 2023
EAS
East Kilbride
2 - 2
Celtic II
CFC
31%
23%
46%
49 44 5 0