League One round 3

Coventry City vs Crewe Alexandra analysis

Coventry City Crewe Alexandra
59 ELO 52
3.8% Tilt -4.8%
344º General ELO ranking 2301º
26º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
58%
Coventry City
22.7%
Draw
19.4%
Crewe Alexandra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
Coventry City
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.4%
Win probability
Crewe Alexandra
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coventry City
-3%
+34%
Crewe Alexandra

ELO progression

Coventry City
Crewe Alexandra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coventry City
Coventry City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2015
MIL
Millwall
0 - 4
Coventry City
COV
48%
26%
26%
57 57 0 0
11 Aug. 2015
ROC
Rochdale
1 - 1
Coventry City
COV
52%
24%
25%
57 58 1 0
08 Aug. 2015
COV
Coventry City
2 - 0
Wigan Athletic
WIG
36%
27%
37%
56 63 7 +1
01 Aug. 2015
COV
Coventry City
0 - 0
Oxford United
OXF
52%
24%
23%
56 55 1 0
28 Jul. 2015
CAM
Cambridge United
1 - 0
Coventry City
COV
40%
26%
35%
56 51 5 0

Matches

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2015
SCU
Scunthorpe United
2 - 0
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
49%
25%
26%
54 57 3 0
12 Aug. 2015
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 3
Preston North End
PNE
18%
24%
58%
54 71 17 0
08 Aug. 2015
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
0 - 0
Port Vale
POR
43%
26%
31%
55 54 1 -1
01 Aug. 2015
CHE
Chester
3 - 2
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
30%
24%
45%
54 48 6 +1
22 Jul. 2015
KID
Kidsgrove Athletic
1 - 2
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
11%
19%
70%
54 23 31 0