Costa Rica vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
CRC
5 - 2
GTM
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
GTM
2 - 1
CRC
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
USA
0 - 0
CRC
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
CRC
3 - 0
BRB
93%
6%
1%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
CRC
2 - 1
GTM
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2000 |
VIR
0 - 7
HND
2%
10%
88%
|
85 | 5 | 80 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
HND
1 - 0
JAM
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
HND
5 - 0
SLV
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
HND
4 - 0
HTI
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
HND
6 - 0
VIR
93%
6%
1%
|
85 | 5 | 80 | 0 |