Costa Rica vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
HND
1 - 0
CRC
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
CRC
7 - 0
BLZ
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1999 |
CRC
9 - 0
JAM
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
JAM
1 - 1
CRC
36%
29%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1999 |
CRC
0 - 0
ECU
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 1
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 0
NIC
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
BOL
1 - 2
GTM
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1999 |
USA
3 - 1
GTM
68%
20%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
2 - 4
JAM
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |