Potros del Este vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
11º
2º
23
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potros del Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
COS
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COS
1 - 3
SMI
39%
29%
33%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
COS
2 - 3
AFC
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
COS
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
COS
2 - 3
TAU
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
TAU
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TAU
2 - 1
AFC
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
TAU
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
SFF
1 - 1
AFC
39%
29%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
TAU
35%
30%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |