Costa Ayala vs CD Goleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 5
COS
29%
24%
48%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
COS
2 - 1
ART
54%
21%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UCB
0 - 2
COS
48%
23%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
COS
2 - 1
SNI
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
SIS
3 - 1
COS
40%
24%
37%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Goleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 0
BAR
24%
23%
54%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 3
CDG
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CDG
2 - 2
SPO
28%
24%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
FIR
0 - 1
CDG
28%
22%
49%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
AGA
3 - 0
CDG
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |