Cork City vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
26.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
SHR
3 - 0
CAO
30%
29%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
CAO
0 - 1
WEX
78%
16%
6%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
CAO
3 - 0
BRW
61%
24%
15%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
SHR
0 - 1
CAO
29%
27%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
CAO
0 - 1
BOH
44%
29%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
DER
1 - 0
FIN
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
UCD
1 - 2
DER
29%
30%
42%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
DER
6 - 0
KIL
73%
19%
9%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
COB
0 - 3
DER
28%
30%
42%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2008 |
GAL
0 - 2
DER
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |