Série A Jor. 6

Coritiba vs Fluminense analysis

Coritiba Fluminense
79 ELO 80
-11.3% Tilt -7.8%
316º General ELO ranking 68º
27º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
38.5%
Coritiba
26.1%
Draw
35.4%
Fluminense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
Coritiba
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.4%
Win probability
Fluminense
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coritiba
+2%
-7%
Fluminense

ELO progression

Coritiba
Fluminense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coritiba
Coritiba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2002
COT
Coritiba
1 - 2
Corinthians
COR
35%
26%
39%
79 82 3 0
21 Aug. 2002
COT
Coritiba
2 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
38%
26%
36%
78 80 2 +1
18 Aug. 2002
BAH
Bahía
1 - 2
Coritiba
COT
59%
22%
19%
78 80 2 0
14 Aug. 2002
PPE
Ponte Preta
2 - 0
Coritiba
COT
64%
20%
16%
78 81 3 0
11 Aug. 2002
COT
Coritiba
1 - 0
Vitória
VIT
44%
26%
30%
78 78 0 0

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2002
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
38%
26%
36%
81 77 4 0
25 Aug. 2002
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 1
Santos FC
SAN
53%
24%
23%
81 82 1 0
21 Aug. 2002
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
1 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
53%
23%
24%
81 82 1 0
17 Aug. 2002
FLU
Fluminense
3 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
43%
25%
32%
81 84 3 0
14 Aug. 2002
SAO
São Caetano
2 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
50%
23%
27%
81 81 0 0
X