Corinthians vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
24.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2005 |
COR
3 - 0
COT
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
COR
4 - 3
CRZ
46%
25%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2005 |
VAS
2 - 3
COR
45%
26%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
COR
3 - 2
PAY
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 3
COR
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
JUV
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
VAS
3 - 2
SAO
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2005 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAR
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |