Paulista A1 Final
Global 1-2
Corinthians vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
COR
2 - 1
OES
79%
15%
7%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
COR
18%
26%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COR
1 - 2
SAO
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BOT
0 - 0
COR
15%
24%
61%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
SAN
41%
24%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
PPE
80%
13%
6%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
TAC
78%
14%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |