Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 3-1
Corinthians vs Portuguesa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
COR
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
COR
24%
29%
47%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
COR
2 - 0
BOC
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PAL
3 - 0
COR
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
POR
32%
30%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
POR
24%
28%
48%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
OES
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
COR
17%
27%
56%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
46%
30%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |