Copa do Brasil Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Corinthians vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
COR
5 - 2
ATP
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
COR
2 - 2
SCI
52%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 0
COR
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
COR
48%
27%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
COR
3 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 2
FLU
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 2
FLA
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 0
COR
51%
26%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 0
ATP
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
FLA
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |