Corinthians vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CRZ
1 - 1
COR
31%
30%
39%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
COR
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
COR
3 - 1
COT
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
NOB
0 - 0
COR
26%
30%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 2
COR
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
26%
27%
47%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
GOI
0 - 2
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
EST
3 - 0
GOI
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 3
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 1
EST
10%
20%
69%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | -1 |