Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-1
Constància vs Murense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CFP
1 - 2
CON
26%
29%
45%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
CON
1 - 0
PCR
83%
12%
5%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
CON
4 - 0
CFP
86%
11%
4%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
CDE
1 - 3
CON
24%
31%
45%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1983 |
CON
3 - 0
CLL
85%
11%
4%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
SAL
1 - 2
MUR
36%
28%
37%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
MUR
3 - 2
FLN
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
MHN
3 - 0
MUR
45%
27%
28%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
MUR
3 - 0
ADC
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1983 |
MUR
3 - 2
CEA
67%
20%
13%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |